Humint Events Online: Time for Another Exciting Edition of

Wednesday, November 22, 2006

Time for Another Exciting Edition of

9/11 ODDS

Very little in this world is certain, and therefore it is difficult to be absolutely certain of many aspects of 9/11. Moreover, contrary to what some people seem to think, my ideas for what happened on 9/11 have evolved, as I take in new evidence and/or analyze new evidence.

The following are how I rate various aspects of 9/11, in betting terms (and yes, I would bet real money on these if it were possible):

1) Some officials in the US government had specific foreknowledge of the 9/11 attacks: 1,000 to 1

2) Some officials in the US government aided the hijackers at various points before 9/11: 100 to 1

3) Some officials in the US government had a direct hand in carrying out the attacks: 100 to 1

4) Flight 77 did not crash into the Pentagon: 100 to 1

5) No conventional plane hit the Pentagon: 50 to 1

6) Pre-planted explosives and outside means such as exotic weaponry caused the total collapses of the WTC twin towers: 100 to 1

7) WTC7 was brought down by controlled demolition of some form: 100 to 1

8) no plane crashed at all in Shanksville and the crash site was a complete hoax: 50 to 1

9) no conventional plane crashed in Shanksville: 100 to 1

10) flight 11 did not hit WTC1: 100 to 1

11) flight 175 did not hit WTC2 (assuming fllight 175 was a Boeing 767): 1,000 to 1

12) at least some videos and photos of the second hit were faked: 1,000 to 1

13) Bush had some specific foreknowledge about what was going to happen on 9/11: 10 to 1

14) The civil air defense (NORAD) response to the hijackings was distracted and/or disabled by wargames being run on 9/11: 1 to 1 (confusing since it's not clear what kind of planes there were that could have been intercepted)

15) The 9/11 attacks did not involve any conventional planes: 10 to 1

16) The 9/11 attacks did not involve any planes at all and were a hoax facilitated by pre-planted explosives, planted plane parts and video fakery: 1 to 1

17) There is a cover-up/disinfo campaign about 9/11 being maintained by the government: 100 to 1

18) There is a cover-up about 9/11 being maintained at high levels by the media: 100 to 1

12 Comments:

Anonymous Surfing by said...

What sort of mathematical model did you use to come up with your betting ratio?

5:58 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

if #16 calls for 1:1 odds and #15 is 10:1...shouldn't the odds for #12, 11, 10, 9, 5, 4 (&maybe others) be at most 10:1 too?

just my 2cents

4:16 AM  
Blogger Spooked said...

anon--

no, I don't think so. It has to do with how much of a hoax there was in terms of the planes, and using any planes versus any conventional planes versus no planes at all... I say it is more likely there was trickery with the main flights than it was that there were no conventional planes used, and this is more likely than that no planes at all were used.

8:56 AM  
Anonymous fatty was had! said...

so. what are the odds that the sword into pinch smashed gang will continue to ignore the veritable plethora of anomalies and fallacies that are the official 9/11 fairytale in favor of continued willfull ignorance and mindless distracting ridicule?

12:59 PM  
Anonymous Sword of Truth said...

What sort of mathematical model did you use to come up with your betting ratio?

It's kind of like how ancient soothsayers would read the future in chicken guts. Except spooked does it by ramming his head up his ass and reading his own intestines from the inside.

3:29 PM  
Blogger Spooked said...

That is actually sort of clever, SOT, but of course I am not trying to divine the future.

The whole point of this exercise was to impart to people my relative confidence in various aspects of 9/11. Thus, something like that flight 175 didn't hit the south tower, that I put the odds of as 1000 to 1, I am VERY CONFIDENT about. There is really nothing tricky to this.

6:04 PM  
Anonymous Sword of Truth said...

I talked to an engineer and found there is a 1:1 chance that there are NO space-jews with death rays:

http://forums.randi.org/showpost.php?p=2086102&postcount=393

That's how I come up with my odds. But then you don't talk to people who have actual education or experience.

6:51 PM  
Anonymous fatty was had! said...

hey whattaya know - there ARE space jews!
what are the odds?

hey sword do yourself a favor and ask your engineer pal what could have possibly caused all those cars to spontaneously combust, some many blocks distant from the wtc1&2.

11:44 PM  
Blogger Spooked said...

SOT-- so your engineer friend said there was a 50% chance that these beam weapons are real???

That's really not bad, not bad at all...

9:53 AM  
Anonymous Sword of Truth said...

Are you illiterate as well as retarded?

Like seriously, can't you read?

12:12 PM  
Blogger Spooked said...

Sword of Truth said...

Are you illiterate as well as retarded?

Like seriously, can't you read?


The post you linked to said nothing about the probability of a death ray or space jews as 1:1.

However, 1:1 odds are 50% odds. The odds of me flipping a coin and getting heads is 1:1 or 50%.

I'm not even sure why I am wasting my time explaining this to someone who is so completely clueless.

8:27 PM  
Anonymous f said...

hey sword do yourself a favor and ask your engineer pal what could have possibly caused all those cars to spontaneously combust, some many blocks distant from the wtc1&2.

12:27 PM  

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