Updated 9/11 Odds
9/11 ODDS
Very little in this world is certain, and therefore it is difficult to be absolutely certain of many aspects of 9/11. Moreover, my ideas for what happened on 9/11 have evolved, as I take in new evidence and new ideas and analyze new evidence.
The following are how I rate various aspects of 9/11, in betting terms (and yes, I would bet real money on these if it were possible):
1) Some officials in the US government had specific foreknowledge of the 9/11 attacks: 1,000 to 1
2) Some officials in the US government aided the hijackers at various points before 9/11: 1,000 to 1
3) Some officials in the US government had a direct hand in carrying out the attacks: 1,000 to 1
4) Flight 77 did not crash into the Pentagon: 1,000 to 1
5) No conventional plane hit the Pentagon: 100 to 1
6) Pre-planted explosives including nuclear weaponry caused the total collapses of the WTC twin towers: 1,000 to 1
7) WTC7 was brought down by controlled demolition of some form: 1,000 to 1
8) no plane crashed at all in Shanksville and the crash site was a complete hoax: 100 to 1
9) UA93 did not crash in Shanksville: 1,000 to 1
10) flight 11 did not hit WTC1: 500 to 1
11) flight 175 did not hit WTC2: 1,000 to 1
12) at least some videos and photos of the second hit were faked: 10,000 to 1
13) Bush had some specific foreknowledge about what was going to happen on 9/11: 10 to 1
14) The air defense (NORAD) response to the hijackings was distracted and/or disabled by wargames being run on 9/11: 50:50 (lack of real hijacked planes may have been more of a factor)
15) The direct 9/11 attacks did not involve any conventional planes: 100 to 1 (planes were probably used indirectly)
16) The 9/11 attacks did not involve any planes at all and were a hoax facilitated by pre-planted explosives, planted plane parts and video fakery: 100 to 1
17) There is a cover-up/disinfo campaign about 9/11 being maintained by the government: 1,000 to 1
18) There is a cover-up about 9/11 being maintained at high levels by the media: 1,000 to 1
My previous odds as of October 2006, can be seen here.
Interestingly, I have clearly firmed up on many of these key points in the last 8 months-- going from 100 to 1 to 1,000 to 1 in many places.
Very little in this world is certain, and therefore it is difficult to be absolutely certain of many aspects of 9/11. Moreover, my ideas for what happened on 9/11 have evolved, as I take in new evidence and new ideas and analyze new evidence.
The following are how I rate various aspects of 9/11, in betting terms (and yes, I would bet real money on these if it were possible):
1) Some officials in the US government had specific foreknowledge of the 9/11 attacks: 1,000 to 1
2) Some officials in the US government aided the hijackers at various points before 9/11: 1,000 to 1
3) Some officials in the US government had a direct hand in carrying out the attacks: 1,000 to 1
4) Flight 77 did not crash into the Pentagon: 1,000 to 1
5) No conventional plane hit the Pentagon: 100 to 1
6) Pre-planted explosives including nuclear weaponry caused the total collapses of the WTC twin towers: 1,000 to 1
7) WTC7 was brought down by controlled demolition of some form: 1,000 to 1
8) no plane crashed at all in Shanksville and the crash site was a complete hoax: 100 to 1
9) UA93 did not crash in Shanksville: 1,000 to 1
10) flight 11 did not hit WTC1: 500 to 1
11) flight 175 did not hit WTC2: 1,000 to 1
12) at least some videos and photos of the second hit were faked: 10,000 to 1
13) Bush had some specific foreknowledge about what was going to happen on 9/11: 10 to 1
14) The air defense (NORAD) response to the hijackings was distracted and/or disabled by wargames being run on 9/11: 50:50 (lack of real hijacked planes may have been more of a factor)
15) The direct 9/11 attacks did not involve any conventional planes: 100 to 1 (planes were probably used indirectly)
16) The 9/11 attacks did not involve any planes at all and were a hoax facilitated by pre-planted explosives, planted plane parts and video fakery: 100 to 1
17) There is a cover-up/disinfo campaign about 9/11 being maintained by the government: 1,000 to 1
18) There is a cover-up about 9/11 being maintained at high levels by the media: 1,000 to 1
My previous odds as of October 2006, can be seen here.
Interestingly, I have clearly firmed up on many of these key points in the last 8 months-- going from 100 to 1 to 1,000 to 1 in many places.
posted by spooked at 9:15 AM
4 Comments:
NORAD is "civil" air defense?
Boy, are you a dumb shit.
What else is bull shit in that posting?
4 planes not intercepted in 1,5 hours?
NORAD is "civil" air defense
Yes, I made a mistake there. I will fix that. I know those are different, that was an oversight.
you have the odds numbers mixed up...what you're trying to say is:
1 to 1,000
1 to 100
see what i mean? otherwise you're giving the PERPS better odds...the FAVORITE goes on the left, UNDERDOG on the right...
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