More on Exit Polls

Inre the previous post, overall I tend to believe that exit polls are indeed real. And certainly the article I cited was extremely flimsy in terms of evidence that exit polls were fake. I just thought the concept that exit polls were fakes was interesting, and did explain a couple of things:

1) why the pollsters and the networks have been so secretive about their methodology and results despite the obvious importance of their disparate results relating to the presidential election,

2) why even Democratic politicians have generally ignored the strange exit poll results.

But I these facts can be explained other ways-- such as that the pollsters and the networks are covering up signs of incompetence/fraud for reasons of their own interest, and that Democratic politicians have fallen into the Republican trap of not wanting to look like a "sore loser".

But the main reason to believe the exit polls in the Nov. 2, 2004 race is that they fit quite well with pre-election polls as well as historical trends relating to an incumbent president. In other words, by all normal logic, Bush should have lost.

But I guess we are NOT dealing with reality-based politics any more.